Ely, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

451
FXUS65 KLKN 190728
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1228 AM PDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1228 AM PDT Sat Jul 19 2025

* A few strong thunderstorms expected in most of White Pine and
  Nye Counties this afternoon into this evening

* Isolated dry thunderstorms in Southeastern Elko and the majority
  of White Pine Counties Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening

* Elevated fire weather conditions in parts of Northern and
  Central Nevada each afternoon and evening today and Sunday

* Elevated to critical fire weather conditions throughout Northern
  and Central Nevada Monday afternoon and Monday evening

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Saturday)
Issued at 1228 AM PDT Sat Jul 19 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: An upper-level area of low pressure will
remain centered over Southern California this weekend. Although
the majority of atmospheric moisture in the service area has
moved eastward into Utah, there should be enough lingering
moisture and lift for isolated thunderstorm development in most of
White Pine and Nye Counties this afternoon into this evening. A
few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The primary
thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous
cloud to ground lightning strikes. Away from thunderstorms,
southwest wind gusts near 25 knots are expected each afternoon and
evening this weekend. High temperatures will be near normal for
this time of year both this afternoon and Sunday afternoon.

A trough of low pressure will drop southward into the Pacific
Northwest Monday. This trough of low pressure will remain over the
Pacific Northwest Tuesday, before lifting northward Wednesday. A
downward temperature trend is anticipated Monday and Tuesday. By
Tuesday afternoon, high temperatures will be around five degrees
below seasonal values. A ridge of high pressure will build
northwestward across Northern Nevada Thursday and Friday. An
Eastern Pacific trough of low pressure should make landfall over
Northern California next Saturday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding isolated thunderstorm development in the majority of
White Pine and Nye Counties this afternoon into this evening.
Moderate forecast confidence in the formation of isolated dry
thunderstorms in Southeastern Elko and most of White Pine
Counties Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Moderate forecast
confidence regarding elevated fire weather conditions in portions
of Northern and Central Nevada this weekend. High forecast
confidence in moderate to critical fire weather conditions across
Northern and Central Nevada Monday afternoon and Monday evening.
No deviations from the NBM model output.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals over the next 24
hours. Winds will generally be from the S-SW with gusts up to 25
kts. Gusty winds are expected to subside around 02-03Z Sun.

Afternoon cumulus buildups are expected with CIGs ranging from
FL100 to FL150 across northern and central NV. Increasing moisture
combined with weak instability will bring a 10-25% chance of
thunderstorms across portions of Nye County Saturday afternoon
and evening, including near KTPH. Variable winds with gusts up to
45 kts are possible due to downdrafts and strong outflow winds
from nearby storms.

Storms are expected to diminish by the mid-evening hours, with
dry and mild conditions at all terminals tonight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in portions of
Northern and Central Nevada each afternoon and evening today and
Sunday. Isolated dry thunderstorms are anticipated in Southeastern
Elko and most of White Pine Counties Sunday afternoon into Sunday
evening. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely
throughout Northern and Central Nevada Monday afternoon and
Monday evening.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...90
FIRE WEATHER...87